The Harsh Insider Truth: 9 Out of 10 Traders Lose! (2024)

I was literally shocked when I saw this notice first time on my Zerodha platform. And, from then on I have been seeing this message again and again whenever I login into it. The message is something like that “9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses…….”

I went through the entire message that elaborated that on an average, loss makers registered net trading loss close to ₹50,000. On top of that, loss makers incurred an additional 28% of net trading losses as transaction costs. Those who are making net trading profits, have to bear a transaction cost that ranges in between 15% to 50% of such profits.

Actually, this was taken from SEBI study dated January 25, 2023 on “Analysis of Profit and Loss of Individual Traders dealing in equity Futures and Options (F&O) Segment”. In the cutthroat world of F&O trading, success is elusive. The SEBI study uncovers a disheartening statistic - a staggering 90% of individual traders faced net losses in the fiscal year 2021-22. The dream of making it big has turned into a nightmare for the majority.

I can feel the pain of retail traders, especially the young traders who have started their trading journey recently. Maybe they are emerged during the Covid pandemic and looking for quick money without realizing the pitfalls of trading F&O market, particularly options market. I have heard that a large number of novice traders joined Robinhood during that period.

Not only that, I went through a study of eToro traders that revealed that approx 80% of active traders on the platform lose money with an average negative return of -36.3% over 12 months. A Brazilian study found that 97% of traders who day trade for more than 300 consecutive days lose money, and only 1.1% earn more than the Brazilian minimum wage. A SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) study also found that 70% of Forex traders lose money every quarters, and on average 100% of a retail traders investment is gone within 12 months. This is shocking, isn’t it?

Ultimately, the specific figures don’t matter much because the lesson is clear. You’re going to have to do something to separate yourself from the majority if you want to be a successful stock trader.

In fact, I was in their shoes a few years back. I used to be an options buyer and was a terrible loser. It sounds incredible to be options buyers because of its low-cost entry and limited loss theory. But, it’s like slow poison that sucks money slowly and makes the trader’s life thorny.

Despite of riding a trend most of the time, I was not able to make money from options. Why? This is because the market can trend sideways sometimes in a trending market. And, that causes premium deterioration drastically, especially weekly options. This is the mistake the novice traders do frequently. Ever since I started adopting the Price Action technique, alongside with Elliott Wave method, my options trading transformed exceptionally.

On the other hand, Futures trading is not like options where premium decay is our main concern. But, in futures we have to pledge a large sum of money as margin and everybody wants to avoid margin call where there is drastic fall or a wild upswing.

The stock market is like a thrilling roller coaster ride, full of ups and downs that can disrupt emotional balance of a trader. Amidst the clear-cut statistics there lie countless human stories. The SEBI’s study highlights how individual traders struggled with this emotional turbulence. It emphasizes the importance of diligent research, risk management, and financial discipline. It reveals that the stock market is not a shortcut to wealth but a challenging arena that demands skill, perseverance, and resilience.

The SEBI study paints a realistic picture of the challenges faced by individual traders in the F&O segment. Behind the numbers are real people with real dreams. It serves as a timely reminder that success in trading is not just about luck; it's about mastering the art and science of the market, managing risk, and keeping emotions in check.

While the odds may seem stacked against us, it's important to remember that success in trading comes with dedication, knowledge, and a willingness to adapt.

By adopting sound risk management practices, and honing our trading skills, we can carve our path to profitability. The road might be bumpy, but with perseverance and the right mindset, we can turn the tide and unlock the potential of equity Futures and Options trading.

Remember, fortune favors the prepared trader! So, equip adequately, and let the journey to trading success begin. Happy trading!

The Harsh Insider Truth: 9 Out of 10 Traders Lose! (2024)

FAQs

Is it true that 90% of traders lose money? ›

According to various studies and reports, between 70% to 90% of retail traders lose money every quarter. This article will discuss the main reasons retail traders lose money and how they can enhance their performance and profitability.

Why 95% of traders lose? ›

Overtrading To Cover Losses

In an attempt to recover losses quickly, traders often place more orders than usual or trade with higher volumes. This behaviour increases the risk and can lead to a vicious cycle of losses as it often involves making impulsive and poorly thought-out trades.

What percentage of options traders lose money? ›

The futures and options (F&O) market is a complex and risky market, and it is no surprise that 9 out of 10 traders lose money in it. There are many reasons for this, but some of the most common include: Lack of knowledge: Many traders enter the F&O market without a good understanding of how it works.

How many traders lose money in trading? ›

It is estimated that nearly 80-85% of intraday traders end up losing money in the stock markets. Normally, 70% of the intraday traders do not last beyond the first year and 90% do not last beyond the third year. What is the reason for this phenomenon and why do intraday traders lose money so consistently?

What is the 90% rule in trading? ›

It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.

Is it true that most day traders lose money? ›

From movies like The Wolf of Wall Street to Robinhood commercials, it's often advertised that you can make big money through trading the markets. It might sound as simple as “buy low” and “sell high,” but the reality is that the vast majority of traders end up losing money over time.

How much money do day traders with $10,000 accounts make per day on average? ›

With a $10,000 account, a good day might bring in a five percent gain, which is $500. However, day traders also need to consider fixed costs such as commissions charged by brokers. These commissions can eat into profits, and day traders need to earn enough to overcome these fees [2].

How many people actually succeed in the stock market? ›

The success rate—success meaning they could make a living from the markets (that doesn't necessarily mean a great living)—was about 4%. So out of the approximate. 2,000 people, about 80 were good enough to trade for a living.

What is the biggest loss of a person in stock market? ›

List of trading losses
Nominal amount lostUSD FX rate at time of lossPerson(s) associated with incident
GBP 827 mn0.633Nick Leeson
RUB 78.5 bn38.98Maksim Grishanin, VP Finance
USD 1.8 bn1Boaz Weinstein
USD 1.6 bnCarl Icahn
50 more rows

Why do 99 option buyers lose money? ›

As options approach their expiration date, they lose value due to time decay (theta). The closer an option is to expiration, the faster its time value erodes. If the underlying asset's price doesn't move in the desired direction quickly enough, options buyers can suffer losses as the time value diminishes.

How much does the average person make trading options? ›

$112,369

How do you never lose in option trading? ›

The option sellers stand a greater risk of losses when there is heavy movement in the market. So, if you have sold options, then always try to hedge your position to avoid such losses. For example, if you have sold at the money calls/puts, then try to buy far out of the money calls/puts to hedge your position.

What percentage of traders get rich? ›

Around 1% – 20% of traders earn a profitable margin at the end of the day. The low success rate often discourages the newbies who learn new ways from an online course or television. Studies have shown that around 97% of day traders have lost their money in two years.

Which type of trading is most profitable? ›

The defining feature of day trading is that traders do not hold positions overnight; instead, they seek to profit from short-term price movements occurring during the trading session.It can be considered one of the most profitable trading methods available to investors.

How many people day trade for a living? ›

Key Takeaways

Very few people day trade. Astonishingly few (1%-3%) day traders are able to consistently earn above-market returns. Data is mixed on whether or not it is even possible to improve performance at day trading. In most studies, the most active traders tend to lose the most money.

Do 80% of day traders lose money? ›

Day trading is extremely risky.

And day traders typically end up on the wrong side of a trade more often than not. A study found that traders who lose money account for anywhere between 72–80% of all day trades being made. It's just not worth the risk!

Do 97 percent of traders lose money? ›

However, the harsh reality is that the vast majority of day traders lose money. In fact, studies have shown that a staggering 97% of day traders end up in the red. This statistic is not only staggering, but it's also incredibly disheartening for those who are considering day trading as a means of making a living.

What percentage of traders actually make money? ›

Approximately 1–20% of day traders actually profit from their endeavors. Exceptionally few day traders ever generate returns that are even close to worthwhile. This means that between 80 and 99 percent of them fail.

Why 90 people lose money in stock market? ›

One of the reasons for the loss in the stock market is that people do not decide the amount of their investment. This is also a big mistake. Because the investment amount is not fixed, they invest most of their money in the stock market. Due to which they do not have enough money even for emergency times.

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