The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (2024)

Greetings from Shanghai, China! This time, we are pleased to bring you firsthand insights into the Chinese vehicle market from our local expatriate.

We, the MOL Auto Carrier Express (MOLACE) of Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, transport a wide variety of vehicles and cargoes, including not only cars but also trucks, buses, and construction machinery, safely and swiftly for our customers on various routes worldwide. Among these, China has been positioned as one of the rapidly growing export destinations in recent years. Despite a number of challenging circ*mstances, such as lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic, China has been able to overcome these hurdles and become a major exporter of New Energy Vehicles (NEVs)*1. We will share with you our observations about China's vehicle market in two parts. In this, the first part, we would like to give a brief overview of the vehicle situation in China.

(*1)New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) in China refer to Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs), Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs), and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs).

How many vehicles are in China?

As of the end of June 2023, it is estimated that there are 420 million vehicles (including trucks) in China.

Until 2020, the United States has held the top spot in terms of the number of vehicles, but China has now surpassed it and stands as the world’s leader in the number of vehicles.

For comparison, the number of vehicles in Japan is approximately 80 million as of the end of May, so the number of vehicles per person is higher in Japan, but the overall number gives you a good sense of the scale of the vehicle market in China.

The graph below shows the sales volume (the number of units sold) of vehicles produced in China.

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (1)
(Source: Marklines)

Although the number of units sold have not returned to the pre-COVID-19 2018 level, the graph shows that over 20 million vehicles are sold each year, even excluding exports (which are included in China's production and sales statistics and amount to about 2-3 million vehicles). For comparison, the annual sales volume in Japan is about 4 million.

What kind of vehicles are being sold?

The sales volume by automakers in 2022 is as follows.

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (2)

(according to MOL research, including joint ventures and export units,
in 10,000 units)

In China, the manufacturers are referred to in various ways, but the three major automakers are SAIC, FAW, and DONGFENG. Along with CHANGAN and CHERY, they have been collectively known as the "Big Five" automakers. SAIC, ranked first, has maintained the top spot in sales for over 15 years, and FAW and DONGFENG have not given up their second and third place positions for at least the past few years.

However, the rankings, scale, and lineup of automakers other than these top three have been changing dramatically over recent years. GAC, ranked fourth, is been increasing its unit sales through joint ventures with TOYOTA and HONDA and its own NEV brand “AION”. Also, BYD, ranked sixth, was outside the top ten in units sold before 2021, but in 2022, its sales more than doubled from the previous year, rapidly expanding its share not only in China but also overseas.

Overall, it seems that while traditional large-scale automakers continue to maintain their positions, others are gradually making their presence felt and slowly taking market share, creating a situation where many are now vying for dominance.

The following represents the units sold by brand in 2022*2~4.
.

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (3)

(Source: Marklines)


*2 VW & Audi includes the units sold as joint venture brands with FAW and SAIC.
*3 TOYOTA includes the units sold as joint venture brands with FAD and GAC.
*4 HONDA includes the units sold as joint venture brands with GAC and DONGFENG.

VW & Audi are in first place, indicating their strong sales base in China, which they have kept since the 1980s. The major difference from last year is that BYD is now the runner-up. Brands such as SAIC, GAC, and FAW are ranked slightly lower than the group sales figures shown in the previous table, because the units sold for joint venture brands with VW, TOYOTA, and HONDA as mentioned in Notes 2-4, are separated.

As can be seen, Chinese automakers vary in their focus, with some primarily concentrating on their own brands (such as BYD and CHANGAN), while others having a significant proportion of joint ventures (such as SAIC and FAW). This is quite different from the situation in Japan.

In China, non-automakers such as Alibaba and Baidu often become joint venture partners. Although their sales scale is not yet large, each manufacturer is working on the production of vehicles specialized in the use of new energy and connectivity (vehicles that are always connected to the internet, have terminal functions, constant vehicle monitoring, and autonomous driving capabilities) through such joint venture companies. While similar initiatives are gradually emerging in Japan, China's initiatives are very quick and dynamic.

Trivia about vehicles in China

Having now talked about sales statistics, we will now leave this topic behind and look at some trivia related to vehicles in China.

Just like anywhere else, a driving license is required in China. Generally, anyone over the age of 18 goes to a driving school (although some people choose not to do so to save money), takes a test, and obtains a license to drive. China uses left-hand drive vehicles and drive on the right side of the road, which is the opposite to Japan.

Having now obtained a license, the next step is to get a car. As mentioned before, there is a wide variety of car options in China. I cannot claim to know them all, and I am sure there are automakers out there that I'm not aware of. The "Hongguang MINI EV" by SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile, a joint venture between SAIC, GM, and Wuling, has maintained its position as the top-selling car in China for over two years. Its price at launch was incredibly low, equivalent to around 500,000 yen. Conversely, the top-of-the-line sedan model "Hongqi L5" by FAW ranges in price from about 80 million to 100 million yen, clearly demonstrating the wide range of prices even within domestic brands. If you are interested, you can check out the Autohome website (之家in Chinese), which offers price information on all the cars you can buy in China.

Next thing you need when you get a car is a license plate.

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (4)

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (5)
(Photo by the author)

The first Chinese character plus alphabet letter on the license plate indicates the registration location. Particularly, the first character represents a nickname for each city.

Major cities and provinces

License plate

Meaning

Shanghai City
(上海市)

沪(滬)

Downstream of the Suzhou River, which flows northeast of Shanghai City, or the name of fishing gear.

Guangdong Province
(広東省)

粤(越)

Name of a country formerly in Zhejiang to northern Vietnam.

Beijing City
(北京市)

The capital.

Tianjin City
(天津市)

The character "" in Tianjin comes from an old story where an emperor (“天子” in Chinese) of the Yan state passed through the city.

Chongqing City
(重慶市)

From the ancient name of the Jialing River in Chongqing.

Henan Province
(河南省)

()

The name Yo state (“豫州” in chinese) which came from the old days, but there is also a theory that it is related to the fact there were elephants in ancient times.

Yunnan Province
(雲南省)

()

It lies south of the mountain range between Yunling and Sichuan

(According to the author, there are various theories.)

Each city and province has a one-character nickname, which often has various origins such as ancient place names or rivers that flow through the area. A further investigation into these origins may be interesting.

The green plates in the photo are given to BEVs (Battery Electric Vehicles), which come with various benefits such as reduced acquisition costs. On the other hand, non-BEVs currently receive blue plates (mentioned later). Blue license plates, in addition to the registration location, have five digits or letters. For NEVs (New Energy Vehicles), an alphabet letter always precedes the five digits. If the letters A to D are included, it indicates a BEV; otherwise, it's a non-BEV.

In Shanghai, obtaining a traditional blue license plate required winning a lottery and making a substantial payment (hundreds of thousands of yen!!), while green plates could be obtained easily and for free. This policy aimed to curb the rapid increase in the number of cars and reduce air pollution. When I ask locals about air pollution, they unanimously say that it has significantly improved compared to five years ago (though the Covid-19 pandemic might have played a part in this). In this regard, the policy seems to have been somewhat effective. However, as of January 2023, PHEVs (Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles) are no longer eligible for green plates, and only BEVs (Battery Electric Vehicles) qualify. The reduction in preferential policies for car purchases at the same time is likely having a certain impact on domestic sales.

Just for reference, there are currently a large number of green plates for non-BEVs running in China, as plates obtained before 2022 for PHEVs are still valid.

Others:

① Taxi in China

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (6)

You’re in luck if you happen to catch a Tesla as a Taxi.

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (7)

I've only experienced having a BMW Taxi once before. It was a great experience to enjoy a luxury car for a few hundred yen.

② Multiple license plates

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (8)

(Photo by the author)

In order to drive from mainland China to Hong Kong or Macau (and vice versa), you need to have license plates for both places. The photo above shows a car with both a yellow license plate for Hong Kong and a domestic number plate for the contiguous Guangdong Province. In the case of Macau, the license plate would be black.
I have never seen it myself, but apparently there are also "triple license plates" that allow entry into Hong Kong, Macau, and mainland China.

③ Motorcycles

While it is a bit off the topic of cars, in China electric motorcycles have become a mainstream transportation means, and you can buy one from around 50,000 yen at a store. Especially in Shanghai, almost no non-electric motorcycles are allowed due to concerns about environmental noise, and gasoline-powered motorcycles (referred to as "bikes") are extremely rare. Bikes are overwhelmingly more expensive than electric motorcycles, the main reason being the cost of the license plate, as with cars. It is said that an “A” number on a license plate, which can be used anywhere in Shanghai, costs from 5 million to 10 million yen, and being able to ride such a bike is considered a kind of status symbol (bike’s license plates will not be obtainable in the future, only existing ones will be auctioned off).
I only hear the sound of a bike exhaust about once a month, and when I see one, I think, "That person must be rich."

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (9)

(The blue number on the right is for an electric motorcycle, and the yellow number in the middle is for a bike. Since it's an “A”, it's top-class.)

In this first part I've briefly introduced the current state of vehicle units sold in China and some trivia about vehicles and motorcycles. In the next part I will share you information about vehicle exports from China and future prospects.Look forward to seeing you in part 2!

The New Era of Vehicles in China: The reality of the vehicles situation in China as reported by a local expatriate (Part 1) (2024)

FAQs

What is new-energy vehicles industry in China? ›

New-energy vehicles to make up 50% of China's new cars sales by 2030, Moody's forecasts. New-energy vehicles (NEVs) will make up about half of new car sales in mainland China by 2030, as state incentives and expanding charging stations win over more customers, according to Moody's Investors Service.

What is the policy of China on the automobile industry? ›

In 1994, China unveiled its Automobile Industry Policy, which codified the “three large, three small, two mini” policy and formalized the requirement for foreign automakers to reach joint venture agreements with Chinese partners as a condition of doing business in the country.

When did private car ownership begin to be permitted in China? ›

Most cars, SUVs and vans were purchased by work units, like government officials, rather than by individuals. In 1994 the government began encouraging private car ownership.

Why can't you buy Chinese cars in the US? ›

National security concerns and old-fashioned protectionism have kept these cars out of the U.S. so far. When president, Donald Trump imposed a heavy tariff on Chinese-made vehicles, which the Biden administration has extended and could increase.

Why is China leading in electric vehicles? ›

The country's strength in the manufacture and supply chain for EV batteries underpins the growth of its wider EV industry. In fact, China's largest EV manufacturer, BYD Auto, was originally a battery maker that supplied mobile phone companies. In the 2000s, the company entered the EV market.

What is the new energy vehicle credit in China? ›

Under phase 1 of the ZEV mandate (2019-2020) annual NEV credit percentage targets for car manufacturers were 10% in 2019 and 12% in 2020. Under the second phase (2021-2023), percentage targets are 14%, 16%, and 18%, to be achieved in 2021, 2022, and 2023, respectively.

What is China 1 policy? ›

China Plus One, also known simply as Plus One or C+1, is the business strategy to avoid investing only in China and diversify business into other countries, or to channel investments into manufacturing in other promising developing economies such as India, Thailand, Turkey or Vietnam.

What is the Chinese car policy? ›

On April 17, 2018, the Chinese government announced that it plans to change its policies that cap ownership of vehicle manufacturing by foreign automakers at 50% (O'Kane, 2018), and that in five years it will end a two-decade restriction that requires global automakers to work with state-owned companies (Welitzkin, ...

What is use one China policy? ›

The One China principle is the position held by the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) that there is only one sovereign state under the name China, with the PRC serving as the sole legitimate government of that China, and Taiwan is an inalienable part of China.

What is the lifespan of a car in China? ›

They found that the median lifetime of a Beijing light-duty passenger vehicle is 14.3 years.

What US cars are made in China? ›

  • There are currently no Chinese-branded passenger vehicles for sale in the United States.
  • Just five cars sold in the U.S. are made in China: the Lincoln Nautilus, Buick Envision, Volvo S90, Polestar 1 and Polestar 2.
  • Chinese-made EVs account for 8.3% of the EV market in Europe.
Mar 18, 2024

Can anyone own a car in China? ›

A valid passport and residence permit are required to buy a car in China. The actual process of buying a car is the same as for Chinese citizens. There are two types of cars you can buy: brand new and second hand.

What cars Cannot be imported to USA? ›

As a general rule, motor vehicles less than 25 years old must comply with all applicable Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards (FMVSS) in order to be imported permanently into the United States.

Why are Chinese electric cars so cheap? ›

Chinese EVs also tend to be cheaper than Western-made cars partly because much of the manufacturing process involved in producing car batteries is carried out by Chinese companies. Although the largest cobalt mine is in the Democratic Republic of Congo, in Africa, Chinese companies process the cobalt in those mines.

What is the meaning of new energy vehicle? ›

A vehicle which is fuelled by an uncommon energy source, as compared to the vast marketplace of conventionally fuelled vehicles, as of the turn of the 21st century. Wiktionary. A plug-in electric vehicle , either a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle or an all-electric plug-in battery electric vehicle.

What are the new energy vehicles? ›

NEVs cover a wide range and can be divided into three main categories: hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs), and BEVs. Among them, the HEVs can be further subdivided into plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs), and ordinary HEV.

What is China's new energy strategy? ›

China aims to build more than 200 such bases to help to raise its renewables capacity to about 3.9 terawatts by 2030, more than three times its 2022 total. China still generates about 70 percent of its electricity from fossil fuels, as renewable energy use lags behind installed capacity.

What is the new energy vehicle industry development plan? ›

The New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2021-2035) is a strategic top-level policy guiding the development of a comprehensive and fully integrated New Energy Vehicle (NEV) and Intelligent Connected Vehicle (ICV) eco-system in China over the course of the next 15 years and is part of the comprehensive roadmap ...

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